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Monday, August 11, 2025

The Trump Show. Episode 3: Employment Numbers. We Don't Need No Oversight!

A stop at the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC) page, at the U.S. Department of Commerce's Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) internet site reveals the following disclaimer:

The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the purposes for which the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee (FESAC) was established have been fulfilled, and the committee has been terminated effective February 28, 2025.1

The committee was formed in 1999 under the Federal Advisory Committee Act of 1972. It's charter, reauthorized every two years by Congress since 1999, was due to be renewed in June of 2025. Not only was it not renewed but some urgent reason required it to be terminated early — as soon as possible after the beginning of the second run of the Donald Trump Reality-President Show.

The excuse of cost savings not being available, as the twelve highly respected experts on the committee provided their services pro bono, and the meetings were held by video conference, the termination was for the reality-show reason that it's “purposes had been fulfilled”. None of the experts was appointed by Donald Trump. None was a Reality-President Show expert so they were written out of the show to avoid conflicts. They were simply unlikely to deliver the lines that were written for them, to obey non-disclosure agreements, etc.

Viewers of television shows phase out when presented with detail. It is a perfect excuse to do away with such detail. On the Donald Trump Show, reality is what the star says it is, or what his co-stars say until he should choose to refute them.

Unfortunately, the DOGE required BEA cost cuts, also, to fight “waste, fraud and abuse”. These cuts necessitated changes to the methodologies for developing labor, inflation, and U.S. Census statistics. Because of the termination of FESAC no advice or oversight was available regarding the changes from outside of the new Department of Commerce MAGA staff and a few leftovers from the previous administration.

Again, this simplified the task of the Donald Trump Reality-President Show writers. Or so they thought until an actual Jobs Report was somehow released on August 1. Not only was the number of new jobs way below expectations (73,000), and way below those of the Biden Administration, but the June numbers were revised down from the 147,000 previously reported to 14,000 and the May numbers from 144,000 to 19,000.

The star had gloated during those months about how little his tariffs were effecting employment. See!!! The doomsayers were wrong and he was right, he repeatedly crowed. The told-you-so calls were echoed by the Reality-President Show experts... endlessly. Now all of that proved to be untrue and he looked imperfect — he whose first rule was that he was never wrong. If he seemed wrong or incompetent or manipulative, etc., it was the result of a deep and insidious conspiracy of the powers of evil.

But a fall-guy culprit was soon enough found. The Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erika McEntarfer was a Biden Administration appointee. The star accused and found her guilty of releasing actual rigged job numbers “to make Republicans and [him] look bad”.

The Commerce Department BEA statistics, he informed his fans, were grossly rigged, prior to the 2024 election — in spite of the fact that FESAC was intact and reviewed them — in order to make Biden look good. Corrected for Biden's rigged jobs numbers, Trump averred, his were even higher than the figures given in the grossly inflated original May-June (and unvetted July) reports. Much higher. Then the Biden Administration destroyed the evidence so everything looks legitimate. “Everybody knows” it.

On Friday, August 2, the day after the Jobs Report was released, the star himself wrote a memorable scene for this episode, featuring a MAGA Reality President-Show expert, Stephen Moore, to read lines revealing new secret data.

“We have access to the... uh... some data that no one else does.... based on unpublished Census Bureau data that will be released in the next six months...” The numbers were unbelievably good in line with the writers' characterization of the “Greatest President in the History of All Time” star. Census Bureau data is not designed to serve as economic data nor is it tracked monthly. But it creates reality-show reality and that's the point.

Nor were these numbers “job numbers”. The audience would have been unable to suspend disbelief sufficiently to accept “new,” highly positive employment statistics. The markets would have been forced to accept that the United States economic numbers are fiction written by the Donald Trump Reality President-Show writers who simply present what they are told the star requires.

Instead, they were purported personal income numbers. Not only that but numbers presented on the level of a Dick-and-Jane primer for an audience having no ability to understand such matters and a presenter needing to preempt all fact-checking by those who do.

Such numbers vary widely depending upon method of calculation. No methodology or context at all was provided. They are not verifiable and wont be publicly released, the viewer is conveniently informed, until some six months will pass, when the viewers will not remember the presentation for anything more than its emotional impact if at all. Of course, they have not and will not be reviewed and signed off by FESAC who the Trump Administration no longer needs in order to guarantee its methods and its numbers. As we have observed is always the case on the Donald Trump Reality President-Show, they are “real” because — and solely because — the star says they are.

It seems highly unlikely that we will ever see numbers so infuriating to the “Greatest President in the History of All Time” star of the Reality-President Show again. Safeguards have surely been put in place, the responsible people defamed and written out of the script.



1  https://apps.bea.gov/fesac/




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Monday, July 28, 2025

The Trump Show. Episode 2: Greatest Deal Ever after Greatest Deal Ever.

When last we visited the Donald Trump Show, China seemed to have totally cut off the supply of rare earth minerals to the U.S. military in response to Trump's tariffs. These minerals are essential for manufacturing “smart” technologies, including smart bombs and 4th and 5th generation military aircraft. There are since claims that some small supply had been restarted. The Trump Show itself has conspicuously lacked any advancement of the rare earth plot-line.

Smart U.S. commercial products require even more of the minerals. Their manufacturers are presently receiving enough supply to get by for as much as six months, generally allowing to stockpile enough for a month and more, while new export licenses are hopefully being approved.

But, actually, the viewer learns from the show's fictional news channel — Fox News — that Trump has now gone further than authorizing exports to China of previously prohibited jet engines and micro-chip manufacturing software. He has also authorized licensing to sell Chinese companies high-grade H20 micro-chips that were previously withheld “for national security reasons.” Inside sources report that Trump has done this as a step toward his genius, 4-dimensional secret master-plan. He had planned to give the permission from the start, the viewers are informed.

Not covered on Trump Show fictional news stations was China's “withdrawal” from a previous “deal” committing it to divest from Panama Canal area ports. Trump's great “foreign policy victory” has disappeared in a puff of smoke (there having been no formal agreement signed). China has silently waited for its moment and now demands at least 50% Chinese control of the ports' operations and profits.

Like all of Trump Show's deals, to date, these exist only on the show. They are “real” because words came out of the mouths of Donald Trump and the supporting cast of the Donald Trump Reality Show nutshelling the deals (it only being a television show, after all) in which Trump's character — the all-time genius of deal-making — somehow gets everything he wishes yet again. 

In the China tariff negotiations, a temporary tariff rate and port fees have been announced that may change from tariff pause to tariff pause, for some time to come. A final deal is a daunting prospect for the Donald Trump Show. The show's writers will now have to create a new story line to match: an ever more difficult task as the “deals” pile up.

For the present, China's recent actions do not exist in the “real(ity show) world” and definitely have nothing to do with a huge (and perhaps irrecoverable) blunder by the reality-show-president regarding vital rare earth minerals. Nor does the fact exist that Chinese President Xi has not responded to requests for a meeting between the two leaders, leaving Trump to wait hat-in-hand.

Instead we hear the star declare that

We're very close to a deal with China. We really sort of made a deal with China but we'll see how it goes.

The China temporary-tariff is expected to be extended for another 90 days. The next meeting of the negotiators will occur on Monday.

In the meantime, a Japan deal was announced, at 15%, which the star of the show announced included a $550 billion investment fund to be directed solely by himself. The U.S. is to receive 90% of some-undefined-thing (profits, apparently — from what who knows), Japan 10%. What incredible deal making skills the star possesses! This, he announced, would be the template for success in the deals that lay ahead! Billions of dollars laid at his feet in tribute. Surely, he has made the “greatest deal of all time!”

What an episode! The U.S. stock markets spiked. Japanese officials were silent until after the star's victory scenes had played out before gently suggesting, off-camera, that there was no such $550 billion fund as described. The U.S. stock markets leveled off. But, still, new record levels had been reached and widely proclaimed. The Japanese officials continued over the following days to make timid statements to the effect that no such fund as Trump described was in the “deal”.

Nothing has been signed, of course. No detail description of the “deal” has been provided to the public.

Days later, Trump traveled to Scotland to shoot the greatest ever reality-round of golf and to advertise his newest Scottish course. The European Union trade deal having been in negotiation, by then, for months, Trump met with the President of the European Union, Ursula Von der Leyen.

After a 75 minute meeting the two made a public appearance to announce they had closed the agreement. The star did almost all of the talking, all of it self-congratulatory. “I think it's the biggest deal ever made.”

Von der Leyen knew her role. She spoke her admiring lines beginning with “We have a deal!” See! Even the other party says for the camera that this is definitely a “deal”.

As the Trump Show fictional media outlet, the New York Post, announced:

It took just 75 minutes for President Trump to get everything he wanted from the European Union.... Trump was triumphant. Europe is buy $750 billion in American energy products, invest $600 billion in new money in the US, buy additional US military equipment and drop all tariffs on American goods, according to the preliminary agreement.

No negotiator worth their salt in the real world believes for a second that anything substantial toward the deal was negotiated in those 75 minutes. The scenes were written for the Donald Trump Reality-Show audience to admire the greatness of the star character. Again, Von der Leyen, being a real-world president knew the importance of delivering her lines as written when doing a guest appearance on the Donald Trump Reality Show.

In Von der Leyen's press-conference to follow she expanded on the details of the deal inasmuch as they have been agreed. The agreement established a number of tariff categories for which each side negotiated zero tariffs. For most of the rest of the trade categories the EU would pay a 15% tariff. It would be “non-stackable,” which is to say that previous tariffs are nullified and no increase in tariff rates will be permissible in the future.

The tariff reductions to 0 and 15% will be instituted immediately. The rest of the agreement establishes a “framework” upon which to implement the other aspects, over the coming months, defining what exactly they come down to, upon what price and time schedule they will be realized, etc. She did not mention the purported $600 billion dollars of investment at all.

Not being a reality-star president, she has had the presence of mind to gain for her government a powerful tool to expand the EU sanctions against Russian oil and gas to long-recalcitrant member-states such as Hungary, Slovakia, Austria, Italy, etc.  The star of the show specifically mentioned the possibility of individual member-country tariffs. They will at long last be forced to switch away from Russian products in order to avoid punitive tariffs that will cripple their economies.

The commitment to purchases of US military equipment has already been made long ago as part of other negotiations. Now, however, the US will have specific obligations to provide at price and on schedule. What rights will be included to resell equipment to Ukraine should be negotiated, as well, with the EU in an improved position.

The EU consisting of 27 willful member-countries will spend months squabbling over every detail. In the meantime, US tariff rates for the EU will be at the reduced rate.

During the same press conference, Von der Leyen very much stressed that Europe was rapidly expanding its markets throughout the world. While EU-US details are being negotiated, new trading partners will be importing a wide range of products from the EU and exporting tariff-free metals with which to build considerably less expensive EU products. This, of course, can only be intended to neutralize future attempts at strong arm economics.




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Sunday, July 06, 2025

Donald Trump and the Donald Trump Show starring Donald Trump.

During a pep rally for Donald Trump's “Big Beautiful Bill” Trump makes an off-hand comment. He knows his part. He has constructed his character from his every conceit and foible. Fate gave him a large inheritance, mediocre business prowess and the wiles to realize that his genius lay in opportunism, self-promotion and the ability to manipulate others. And now he is the star of far-and-away the most popular show on television.

“We just signed with China yesterday,” he says. Everyone in the room gazes upon him with utter admiration. No one in or out of the room knows what the words mean exactly. Perhaps not even he himself (not being “a reader,” as it were).

The main sound stage of the present president-show of the United States, from which he has tossed off this line, is called “the Oval Office”. For the Donald Trump Show, it is all gilt and gold thread. Another set where action shots are filmed is the South Lawn. The Marine One helicopter stands waiting. The president has to perform his role for his audience over the deep symbolic thrum of the powerful engine. The action is implied.

Beyond the gilt décor and the replacing of the Rose Garden — first planted in 1913, the year of the inception of the income tax which the star also hates and intends to replace with tariffs — with a cement slab, this may not seem all that much of a change. But Donald Trump has converted the presidency into a reality television show. Rebooted for a second run. With an all new supporting cast, each cabinet member chosen to be a lovably obeisant bumbling mismatch for his or her putative responsibilities.

The star of the show travels the world heroically setting right all that is so so wrong. Or he is on his way to win yet another reality show golf tournament at one or another of the resorts he owns.

As with all stars, with their own eponymous television show, Donald has a fan club. In fact, it is the biggest in the world as evidenced by the fact that it's main fan-site is called “White House dot gov”. Virtually every day it is updated with more slavish adulation from Republican Senators, Representatives, appointed officials of the executive and reporters from Fox News and others among the growing MAGA media. Most of it originates with the White House Office of Communications. Trump himself largely prefers to worship himself on his own social media platform.

As in all reality shows, very little of it is actually real. It is this which distinguishes it from other presidencies (none of which can claim to have been 100% real, of course). The president is the center of all. Everyone who can get into the Oval stands behind him looking on in poses of utter, glowing admiration. They laugh demonstratively at all of his jokes. To fail to do so is to fail to appear again in future episodes. Visiting world leaders get to sit beside rather than stand behind him and receive insults in order to establish who is the alpha male, who is the star of the show. They, too, must pose in utter admiration, regardless, or they, too, will not appear again.

Surely, Trump does know something of the details of the China deal. Two weeks earlier, on June 11th, he'd announced, on his social media account, that a handshake-deal had been finalized. In it he stressed that “Full magnets, and any necessary rare earths, will be supplied, up front, by China.” He has learned that if he says something on his reality show it becomes fact.

There is no single item more important to his success, foreign and domestic, than these rare earth minerals. Not that he has lost anything by tipping his hand. China knows it as well. For present purposes, China trade deal primarily equals rare earth minerals — the stuff the world relies upon in order to make its Smart Phones and smart bombs and fighter jets and every other kind of smart tech. Without rare earths all of our war and commercial tech will be dumb (if it is even possible to function at all) and all of China's, North Korea's, Russia's and Iran's will be smart.

For all the June 11th handshake was shaken it apparently didn't take. It seems that the rare earths were not forthcoming as Trump had expected. His top negotiator, Howard Lutnick, assures us that issue is resolved with this new deal that won't be broken like the other deal (inasmuch as there may actually have been an “other deal”).

But being reality television, it may not have mattered to the cast of the show whether there was even actually a deal. What mattered is that a deal was announced just in time to bring another episode to a victorious denouement. Trump's leadership and genius had triumphed again. Even China had crumbled before his overwhelming personal emanations.

A lack of actual rare earth delivery, however, threatened to become a physical fact that would soon force itself onto the story line. The story line was revised: “The president was furious. There had been a deal but China was failing to perform their part of the bargain.”

A new parlay is urgently requested. The Chinese government graciously agrees. Within days, Lutnick stands behind Donald Trump, glowing with admiration, as the star declares “a deal”. (Both know that the term “deal” is so vague that it can mean pretty much anything.) Something seems to have been signed which provides a pretext for the claim. So then, in reality show terms it is unquestionably a deal. The Great Deal Maker has made yet another great deal.

Other governments are calling these “frameworks,” a rather vague term, also, and one that got the president of Ukraine unceremoniously ejected from an obscure servant's door of the White House. On camera because it is a reality television show. The star has not advertised himself as “the Great Framework maker”. Being the star, he makes deals.

Being the star, not only are they deals but they are deals that say whatever he says they say. So much so that there is no need to make the text of the agreement public as is customary with non-reality presidencies.

Chinese President Xi, on the other hand, is not the star of his own reality show. He doesn't even wear makeup. He is a straight up autocrat with no need of performance. China has even seen fit to describe the framework that has been signed. The spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce summarized the agreement as follows:

China will examine and approve applications for export of eligible Controlled Items in accordance with the law. The U.S. will lift a series of restrictive measures against China.1

No word of “up-front” or “expediting” such as Trump and Lutnick have used and the U.S. press has dutifully repeated.

“In accordance with the [Chinese] law” means licensing rare earth minerals and products for export requires the entity receiving the materials provide a wide range of Intellectual Property, physical plant, process and end-product data. Each individual order requires an application for a separate license. This is known as “One Batch, One License”. Each license can require up to 45 working days. Failure to satisfy the information can mean the license will be denied or the approval process delayed.

It is this that the Chinese have agreed to. The framework for it, that is. The details will be addressed between the parties as matters proceed.

Oh, yes. The framework does not include commitments to supply the U.S. military or its contractors. Following closely upon the April 2nd Liberation Day announcement of the tariffs, Chinese law/policy was updated to forbid sale to the U.S. military or to any U.S. military contractor.


Update – Stories have begun to appear in the media informing us that the U.S. has released chip-making software and jet engines from restrictions on sales to China. These in return for unspecified “rare earths”. A down payment and a good faith gesture but surely not payment in full. China will need to purchase the software only once. The U.S. will need a continuous supply of components fabricated from rare earth minerals such as are only available in quantity through China. No mention has yet been made as to whether components for military use are included in the deal. These facts do not exist on the Donald Trump Show.


1 Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China. https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/syxwfb/art/2025/art_00a79a2980e44ee8b8a2325786979e47.html



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Monday, June 09, 2025

The Trump Administration's “War on Government Statistics”

The Trump Administration is flooding the airwaves with such a constant flow of “information” that it would not be surprising that a desperate reader did not remember the March Bloomberg headline: “The War on Government Statistics Has Quietly Begun” [3/11]. Bloomberg is not in the least a left-leaning media source. Nor does it publish conspiracy theories. Yet the article worries out loud:

In a time of great economic uncertainty, President Donald Trump’s administration quietly took a step last week that could create even more: Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick disbanded the Federal Economic Statistics Advisory Committee.

It leaves the reader with a worrisome observation:

Reduced transparency in official statistics is perhaps the most troubling aspect of disbanding FESAC. Cutting off agency staff from external advisers creates an environment where political interference could occur much more easily — and go undetected.

The committee also advised the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and other U.S. Commerce Department statistical bureaus.

There were many more reports on the subject with revealing headlines such as the following:

The latter article included the tidbit that the Bureau of Economic Analysis Advisory Committee had also been disbanded.

The Week published a piece just this week: “Economists fear US inflation data less reliable” [6/5]. 'In an email this week to economists who had raised concerns about "quirks" in the April CPI report,' we learn, the BLS revealed that, on top of disbanding the expert advisory/oversight groups, 'it had indefinitely "reduced" its data collection "due to a staffing shortage in certain CPI cities"' (a fine excuse).

The first CPI inflation reports, to date, from the Trump Administration covered the recent December and January months under the Biden Administration. The numbers were surprisingly high. The inflation rates for February through April — months under the Trump Administration — either came in below expectations (February) or surprisingly below expectations (March, April). Following the April report, expert economists contacted the BLS about euphemistically described quirks — inconsistencies — in the data. The reply they received was that this was going to be the new methodology for some indefinite period of time.

The Federal Reserve sampling system, called “the Beige Book,” — protected from the Trump Administration control for the moment — showed, instead, notable increases in selling price of the range of products surveyed. “The pace of selling price increases eased somewhat [in May] butremained moderate.... While some firms said they were absorbingtariff-induced cost increases, most reported that they were passingthrough some or all of such cost increases to their customers byraising prices.” Specific numbers are not given but the picture seems to indicate inflation at a moderately increasing rate.

The Administration's labor statistics have also been surprisingly resilient. In spite of major government layoffs and rapidly rising private sector layoffs the recent BLS jobs report showed a surprising increase of 177,000 in new hires. Surprisingly, the unemployment rate remained 4.2%.

Over the same period, the highly respected ADP [Automatic Data Processing, Inc.] jobs data saw an altogether different trend in its numbers. According to CNBC [6/4]:

Private sector job creation slowed to a near standstill in May, hitting its lowest level in more than two years as signs emerged of a weakening labor market, payrolls processing firm ADP reported Wednesday.

Payrolls increased just 37,000 for the month, below the downwardly revised 60,000 in April and the Dow Jones forecast for 110,000. It was the lowest monthly job total from the ADP count since March 2023.

Even Fox Business finds itself having to report private aggregator data:

Challenger, Gray & Christmas on Thursday released a report that said there were 93,816 job cuts announced by U.S. employers in May. That amounts to an increase of 47% from 63,816 announced last May, while last month's figure was down 12% from 105,441 cuts in April.

That brings the total number of job cuts announced this year to 696,309 — an increase of 80% from the 385,859 jobs cut in the first five months of 2024. This year's total is just 65,049 job cuts away from matching the 2024 annual total.

It seems that the most highly respected private data aggregators show a labor market already plunging, on the brink of free fall. Government numbers, on the other hand, show a surprisingly (even incredibly) healthy labor market. Government numbers show the inflation rate going down. The Fed shows prices going up and retailers actively passing along tariff-induced price increases to their customers.

Meanwhile, Fox (non-business) “News” is continuously interviewing Trump Administration officials from the White House lawn with such headlines as “Every Measure of Inflation is lower than its been in over 4 years, Kevin Hassett says,” [6/6] in which Hassett, the director of the National Economic Council, informs viewers that:

Tariff Doomers have egg on their face.

This is exactly what the president said... What about the economists? Like, they're so bitter there's no inflation. I mean, they can't understand why all their soothsayers were wrong about this,... we've had big positive surprises in jobs every month since President Trump's been in here. And so what that means is that we've created 500,000 more jobs now in just a few months.... We did this while we cut 50,000 federal government worker

All are singing off the same song-sheet. Gloating, actually. Government numbers verify that genius Trump was right all along.



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Monday, June 02, 2025

Harvard and Columbia: What Stephen Miller, Russ Vought and the Heritage Foundation Know.

The Trump Administration is aiming financial hammer blows at Columbia and Harvard Universities. There are a number of theories as to why. I would like to add my own.

In the case of Columbia, the government cited, among other matters, “inaction in the face of persistent harassment of Jewish students.” This referred to demonstrations against what student demonstrators describe as Israeli “genocide” of the Palestinian population in the Gaza strip. While the atmosphere created by the demonstrations is sure to have intimidated some Jewish students at Columbia, the Administration's purpose in this is far more to capture the U.S. Jewish vote away from its traditional choice, the Democrats, in future elections.

Among the changes the Administration requires are to '“complete disciplinary proceedings” for some student protesters, formalize a definition for antisemitism, reform its admissions process and place its Middle East, South Asian and African Studies department under “academic receivership”.'1 The definition of “antisemitism” will surely need to satisfy the Administration and demonstrating against Israeli actions or organizing boycotts, etc., will surely meet the definition. Columbia will be required to publicly sign onto the new definition as its own.

In the longer view, after this fashion Antisemitism steadily becomes more associated with Progressivism than its long-traditional, and richly deserved, association with Nationalism and other forms of Far-Right politics. Demanding an official redefinition of Antisemitism that suits the Far-Right locks in the effect. Marching with torches and chanting “Jews will not replace us!” are nowhere in the conversation much less the redefinition.

In the case of Harvard, the ploy to capture the Jewish vote away from the Democratic Party was repeated and much more. The initial financial attack was followed by a letter of April 11, 2025, demanding that the university replace all of its management practices with a regimen provided to it by the Administration. All racial and gender diversity programs were to be ended forthwith and to be replaced by “Viewpoint Diversity Programs”. The university was to “report to federal authorities, including the Department of Homeland Security and State Department” the details of its students' personal lives.

Viewpoint Diversity Programs would assuredly refer to Harvard firing progressive professors and staff and replacing them with others from the MAGA Far-Right until a “balance” was achieved. The personnel office would no longer be permitted expressly to encourage female applicants or applicants of color. Attempts to do so are already being reported to the government for severe “corrective action”.

The original Progressive Era began around 1890 with movements to organize labor into unions and overcome legislative roadblocks, constructed by the new and growing wealth elite, through ballot referenda. Some ten years later, socially conscious journalism — known as “Muckraking” — allowed citizens to look behind the curtain and see how market practices threatened their lives and livelihoods.

It is no coincidence that present-day MAGA Republican state legislatures have been attacking those same ballot referenda, attempting to establish prerequisites impossible to fulfill. Nor that Republicans have long opposed and legislated impediments to unionization of labor. Nor that the far-right has spent recent years building a national media network, dedicated to “alternative truth,” and the Trump Administration has used the executive branch powers to ferociously attack mainstream media.

The Progressive Era accomplished the initial legislation upon which the country has long depended for its health and welfare and largely came to an end around 1920 when highly conservative Republican presidents Warren Harding (1921-3), Calvin Coolidge (1923-9) and Herbert Hoover (1929-33), signaled a reaction to President Woodrow Wilson's vigorous (1913-21) Wilsonian Progressivism, and a hard right turn in the nation's politics. Contemporary Progressives have unwisely rejected Wilson — an absolutely fundamental building block of the movement — for not pushing racial equality issues as part of his program in the early 20th century. The Ultra-Wealthy have despised him during his presidency and since for his success in regulating business for the benefit of the common American citizen — in particular, his passage of the income tax to replace tariffs.

With the end of Wilson, business interests ruled the day once again. At Columbia and Harvard, there had not been a Progressive phase. Business ruled there all along via trusts and endowments.

It might be asked: “Why then is Trump intent to conquer those universities, in particular?” As always, the answers fall along two lines. Donald Trump is not an intellectual in the least. Not even a reader of books. He is a businessman made wealthy — made president — by realizing the importance of brand recognition and media coverage above business savvy. His reason for attacking Harvard and Columbia — his reason for doing anything — is to destroy any threat to his gaining wealth and power and to wreck revenge on those who have made him look bad, even criminal.

Donald Trump knows no more about Wilsonian Progressivism than he does about the pre-income-tax President William McKinley's (1897-1901) tariff policy, that he has taken to lauding, or its overall effects. That is the bailiwick of Stephen Miller, Russell Vought and the rest of the Heritage Foundation. Trump picks up whatever bits and pieces stick from his conversations with them. What sticks is what promises to enhance his wealth and power.

What drives Miller, Vought and company — which have spent decades now doing their homework and analysis — is the knowledge that for all the return of the rule of the Ultra-Wealthy and their Republican servants seemed to put an end to Progressivism it proved to be an illusion. When their greed managed to bring the country to the edge of ruin, beginning with the stock market crash of 1929, they discovered that not all of the Progressive activists that had supposedly been swept away had actually disappeared. A dedicated contingent had carved out niches as professors at Harvard and Columbia Universities. Before Franklin Roosevelt had even become president, their students were advising him as governor of New York. They made up most of Roosevelt's famous “Brain Trust”: the architects of the New Deal.

Felix Frankfurter, the most prominent professor, had already been a co-founder of the American Civil Liberties Union (1920) and taught his Harvard students the lessons of the diaspora of the original Progressives following the Wilson Administration. His student Dean Acheson became a Under Secretary of the Treasury. Another of his students, James Landis, served on the Federal Trade Commission, created under Wilson, and participated in the creation of the Securities and Exchange Commission in 1934. His students Ben Cohen and Thomas Corcoran were the master draftsmen of legislation of the time such as the Fair Labor Standards Act, in 1938, and appeared together on the cover of Time magazine. The list goes to dozens of names — across multiple class-years of Harvard and Columbia graduates.

Miller, Vought and company are fully aware of how the Ultra-Wealthy seemed to have ended Progressivism and recaptured the levers of American power for all time — very much their own present plan — only to be thwarted by a few dozens of pinhead intellectuals from Harvard and Columbia Universities. They have no intention of making the same mistake twice. They are also aware that Trump lives to display unmatched power. They know that such a person is easily manipulated to execute their plans.


1“Columbia University signals it will comply with Trump administration's demands” NBC News, March 19, 2025. https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/columbia-university-signals-will-comply-trump-administrations-demands-rcna197110



Also from the Virtual Vanaprastha:

  • Public Health Alert: Trump Variant Corona Virus 2025. February 17, 2025. "It is now running rampant through the body politic furiously working to hollow out its institutions and shift taxation..."
  • The American Garden.  January 16, 2019.  “By 1890, the Ladies' Home Journal was the most popular advertising venue in the country. There, between ads for cook books, children's clothing, stave-less corsets, indoor water-closets, refrigerators and pianos, and popular female columnists who advised the housewife about them all, were a profusion of ads for seeds.”
  • Blank Verse Now and Then.  January 1, 2019.  “Surrey was as erratic as most young noblemen during early English history, and far more brilliant, and was imprisoned several times for temper and intemperance. In the end, he became rather impatient for the gouty, porcine, syphilis-riddled Henry VIII to die, and for the Howard faction to rule as regents to the young, fragile, son conceived of the syphilitic, Edward.” 
  • The Elegy and the Internet.  July 1, 2005.  ‘Drummond, we may remember, was the William Drummond, of Hawthornden, who Ben Jonson visited during a trip to Scotland, in 1619. The Scot took the time to jot a memorandum of Jonson's conversation, in which we learn inter alia that "he cursed Petrarch for redacting Verses to Sonnets, which he said were like the Tirrant's bed, wher some who were too short were racked, others too long cut short,"7 and "That Shakspear wanted Arte."’

  • Be sure to check out the Browser's Guide to the Library of Babel.

 

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Friday, May 09, 2025

Click-Bait from Tudor Times to the Present.

The publishing industry experienced revolutionary growth in the final decades of the sixteenth century. Techno-social revolutions moved much more slowly, then, but the movable-type printing press was changing that as well. Gutenberg's press was rapidly felt as a cultural earthquake in Germany. The publishing revolution that followed, in two waves, some 50 and 100 years later, was the subsequent tsunami that washed over all of Europe.

The earthquake was followed by centuries of aftershocks. The history is surprisingly little known. We do not have time to supply it here in full.

Suffice it to say that the revolution created many of the Western World's greatest works of fiction, vast numbers of topical pamphlets and broadsides, and even more vast numbers of advertising fliers. The entrepreneurs that drove that explosion of printed material were also the tech bros of their time. They rapidly improved their machinery, their product packaging, their distribution and their advertising.

What didn't improve, however, was the product itself — the content. Ironically, it did improve in that ever more of the new publications were printed in the vulgar language of the given country. But the educated portion of the European population continued to write their works in Latin and less often in Greek. In fact, the first wave was brief and smaller, of publishing new and old works in the classical languages. Classical Greek works actually became generally available for the first time.

The second wave brought fiction in the vulgar tongues and rapidly reached a level that gave us the likes of Rabelais, Shakespeare, Cervantes and the wide range of Italian writers from whom they stole/borrowed. Many of those Italian writers flourished before Gutenberg's press. Their books were copied by hand in monasteries and urban workshops. Copies were rare and they were very expensive.

Non-fiction, however, was the best seller. Seeking the widest possible sales (that is to say profits), it was written in the language of the common man, by freelance writers and translators, and included wild tales of men with their heads embedded in their chests, cannibals, giant sea-serpents, the most gruesome murders under the most lurid circumstances, etc. Witches were suddenly no longer rare beings but were everywhere around as was a literature informing the reader how to identify them. In short, most non-fiction was on a par with our supermarket tabloids and click-bait sites and throve for the same reasons. On the level of the pamphlet, non-fiction was in large part an entertaining topical fiction. It was not simply fiction, it was often dangerous fiction that could result in torture, violent attack, death, maiming and financial loss.

For the first 50-100 years after Gutenberg, legitimate information was largely available only in Latin. It was the universities' way of protecting their own markets. To know Latin was to know the facts of things... as they existed in classical times. More importantly, as greater circulation placed non-fiction beyond the universities' monopoly control, classical facts slowly began to give way to non-fiction based upon observation and experimentation. At first, still in Latin.

Knowing the history of the printed word, it is striking to see just how much the more recent history of the Internet runs parallel to it. Professionally vetted information — for all its was first openly available — has gone almost entirely behind paywalls as exclusive as the classical languages. Such vetting costs considerable money, much like learning, type-setting and proof-reading classical languages. After a couple of decades, subscription fees have been added to advertising in order that legacy media might cover its overheads and make a profit.

Left behind for the average reader are the popular non-fiction: small freelance “companies” that have sprung up to bring information to the multitudes. Their names suggest the situation: Knewz, MiBolsillo, Benzinga, Money Talks News, Slingshot News, The i Paper, Stockwits, Cryptopolitan. Red Effect, Irish Star, Tagtik. The full list is longer still. Many more such names attach to “news” outlets that feature paid advertising (“sponsored content”) presented as news.

In the spirit of the pamphlets of 400-500 years ago, the best from these venues tends to be brief sensationalized overviews of various pay-walled and social media content, behind sensational hyperlinked headlines, without meaningful vetting or otherwise standards. Spelling and grammar are haphazard. Typos often showing signs of having been dictated into a computer transcription program. It is unwise to believe their information without confirmation from more reputable sources.

Unlike the pamphlets, the new media provides colorful photos rather than colorful word portraits. More and more often, articles are actually slide-shows composed of pictures purchased from the growing number of online image brokers. Accompanying text is severely limited — barely more than a caption — information even moreso. Photos are not specific to the article. It is their job to keep eyes glued to the page and accompanying ads.

It took some 300 years, after Gutenberg, and a good many maimings, deaths, frauds, bankruptcies, and vast amounts of wasted time, for standards to be established for the popular media. How long it will take — if it will be accomplished at all — for the Internet revolution to develop standards to stave off the worst of the glorious and treacherous flood of popular media is an important question. It is hard to believe that we have anywhere near as much time.

Also from the Virtual Vanaprastha:

  • Public Health Alert: Trump Variant Corona Virus 2025. February 17, 2025. "It is now running rampant through the body politic furiously working to hollow out its institutions and shift taxation..."
  • The American Garden.  January 16, 2019.  “By 1890, the Ladies' Home Journal was the most popular advertising venue in the country. There, between ads for cook books, children's clothing, stave-less corsets, indoor water-closets, refrigerators and pianos, and popular female columnists who advised the housewife about them all, were a profusion of ads for seeds.”
  • Blank Verse Now and Then.  January 1, 2019.  “Surrey was as erratic as most young noblemen during early English history, and far more brilliant, and was imprisoned several times for temper and intemperance. In the end, he became rather impatient for the gouty, porcine, syphilis-riddled Henry VIII to die, and for the Howard faction to rule as regents to the young, fragile, son conceived of the syphilitic, Edward.” 
  • The Elegy and the Internet.  July 1, 2005.  ‘Drummond, we may remember, was the William Drummond, of Hawthornden, who Ben Jonson visited during a trip to Scotland, in 1619. The Scot took the time to jot a memorandum of Jonson's conversation, in which we learn inter alia that "he cursed Petrarch for redacting Verses to Sonnets, which he said were like the Tirrant's bed, wher some who were too short were racked, others too long cut short,"7 and "That Shakspear wanted Arte."’

  • Be sure to check out the Browser's Guide to the Library of Babel.


Also from Virtual Grub Street:

  • Shakespeare CSI: Sir Thomas More, Hand-D. April 22, 2023. “What a glory to have an actual hand-written manuscript from the greatest English writer of all time!”

  • A Thousand Years of English Terms.  June 2, 2019.  ‘One person did not say to another, “Meet you at three o’clock”.    There was no clock to be o’.  But the church bell rang the hour of Nones and you arranged to meet “upon the Nones bell”.’

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