“We just signed with China yesterday,” he says. Everyone in the room gazes upon him with utter admiration. No one in or out of the room knows what the words mean exactly. Perhaps not even he himself (not being “a reader,” as it were).
The main sound stage of the present president-show of the United States, from which he has tossed off this line, is called “the Oval Office”. For the Donald Trump Show, it is all gilt and gold thread. Another set where action shots are filmed is the South Lawn. The Marine One helicopter stands waiting. The president has to perform his role for his audience over the deep symbolic thrum of the powerful engine. The action is implied.
Beyond the gilt décor and the replacing of the Rose Garden — first planted in 1913, the year of the inception of the income tax which the star also hates and intends to replace with tariffs — with a cement slab, this may not seem all that much of a change. But Donald Trump has converted the presidency into a reality television show. Rebooted for a second run. With an all new supporting cast, each cabinet member chosen to be a lovably obeisant bumbling mismatch for his or her putative responsibilities.
The star of the show travels the world heroically setting right all that is so so wrong. Or he is on his way to win yet another reality show golf tournament at one or another of the resorts he owns.
As with all stars, with their own eponymous television show, Donald has a fan club. In fact, it is the biggest in the world as evidenced by the fact that it's main fan-site is called “White House dot gov”. Virtually every day it is updated with more slavish adulation from Republican Senators, Representatives, appointed officials of the executive and reporters from Fox News and others among the growing MAGA media. Most of it originates with the White House Office of Communications. Trump himself largely prefers to worship himself on his own social media platform.
As in all reality shows, very little of it is actually real. It is this which distinguishes it from other presidencies (none of which can claim to have been 100% real, of course). The president is the center of all. Everyone who can get into the Oval stands behind him looking on in poses of utter, glowing admiration. They laugh demonstratively at all of his jokes. To fail to do so is to fail to appear again in future episodes. Visiting world leaders get to sit beside rather than stand behind him and receive insults in order to establish who is the alpha male, who is the star of the show. They, too, must pose in utter admiration, regardless, or they, too, will not appear again.
Surely, Trump does know something of the details of the China deal. Two weeks earlier, on June 11th, he'd announced, on his social media account, that a handshake-deal had been finalized. In it he stressed that “Full magnets, and any necessary rare earths, will be supplied, up front, by China.” He has learned that if he says something on his reality show it becomes fact.
There is no single item more important to his success, foreign and domestic, than these rare earth minerals. Not that he has lost anything by tipping his hand. China knows it as well. For present purposes, China trade deal primarily equals rare earth minerals — the stuff the world relies upon in order to make its Smart Phones and smart bombs and fighter jets and every other kind of smart tech. Without rare earths all of our war and commercial tech will be dumb (if it is even possible to function at all) and all of China's, North Korea's, Russia's and Iran's will be smart.
For all the June 11th handshake was shaken it apparently didn't take. It seems that the rare earths were not forthcoming as Trump had expected. His top negotiator, Howard Lutnick, assures us that issue is resolved with this new deal that won't be broken like the other deal (inasmuch as there may actually have been an “other deal”).
But being reality television, it may not have mattered to the cast of the show whether there was even actually a deal. What mattered is that a deal was announced just in time to bring another episode to a victorious denouement. Trump's leadership and genius had triumphed again. Even China had crumbled before his overwhelming personal emanations.
A lack of actual rare earth delivery, however, threatened to become a physical fact that would soon force itself onto the story line. The story line was revised: “The president was furious. There had been a deal but China was failing to perform their part of the bargain.”
A new parlay is urgently requested. The Chinese government graciously agrees. Within days, Lutnick stands behind Donald Trump, glowing with admiration, as the star declares “a deal”. (Both know that the term “deal” is so vague that it can mean pretty much anything.) Something seems to have been signed which provides a pretext for the claim. So then, in reality show terms it is unquestionably a deal. The Great Deal Maker has made yet another great deal.
Other governments are calling these “frameworks,” a rather vague term, also, and one that got the president of Ukraine unceremoniously ejected from an obscure servant's door of the White House. On camera because it is a reality television show. The star has not advertised himself as “the Great Framework maker”. Being the star, he makes deals.
Being the star, not only are they deals but they are deals that say whatever he says they say. So much so that there is no need to make the text of the agreement public as is customary with non-reality presidencies.
Chinese President Xi, on the other hand, is not the star of his own reality show. He doesn't even wear makeup. He is a straight up autocrat with no need of performance. China has even seen fit to describe the framework that has been signed. The spokesperson of the Chinese Ministry of Commerce summarized the agreement as follows:
China will examine and approve applications for export of eligible Controlled Items in accordance with the law. The U.S. will lift a series of restrictive measures against China.1
No word of “up-front” or “expediting” such as Trump and Lutnick have used and the U.S. press has dutifully repeated.
“In accordance with the [Chinese] law” means licensing rare earth minerals and products for export requires the entity receiving the materials provide a wide range of Intellectual Property, physical plant, process and end-product data. Each individual order requires an application for a separate license. This is known as “One Batch, One License”. Each license can require up to 45 working days. Failure to satisfy the information can mean the license will be denied or the approval process delayed.
It is this that the Chinese have agreed to. The framework for it, that is. The details will be addressed between the parties as matters proceed.
Oh, yes. The framework does not include commitments to supply the U.S. military or its contractors. Following closely upon the April 2nd Liberation Day announcement of the tariffs, Chinese law/policy was updated to forbid sale to the U.S. military or to any U.S. military contractor.
Update – Stories have begun to appear in the media informing us that the U.S. has released chip-making software and jet engines from restrictions on sales to China. These in return for unspecified “rare earths”. A down payment and a good faith gesture but surely not payment in full. China will need to purchase the software only once. The U.S. will need a continuous supply of components fabricated from rare earth minerals such as are only available in quantity through China. No mention has yet been made as to whether components for military use are included in the deal. These facts do not exist on the Donald Trump Show.
1 Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China. https://www.mofcom.gov.cn/syxwfb/art/2025/art_00a79a2980e44ee8b8a2325786979e47.html
Also from the Virtual Vanaprastha:
- Harvard and Columbia: What Stephen Miller, Russ Vought and the Heritage Foundation Know. June 2, 2025. "beginning with the stock market crash of 1929, they discovered that not all of the Progressive activists that had supposedly been swept away had actually disappeared."
- Shelving the books in a dying democracy. March 24, 2025. "I only now begin to shelve books, in fits and starts, with the scenes I am seeing replaying over and over as I do."
- Public Health Alert: Trump Variant Corona Virus 2025. February 17, 2025. "It is now running rampant through the body politic furiously working to hollow out its institutions and shift taxation..."
- Pierce Butler, Fanny Kemble, et al. July 22, 2020. ‘“An attempt of the Pennsylvania Supreme Court to make a way around the original Fugitive Slave Law, of 1793, by finding a private agent guilty of kidnapping for having remanded a slave from Pennsylvania to Maryland was forcefully overturned by the U. S. Supreme Court in Prigg v. United States (1842).”’
- Be sure to check out the Browser's Guide to the Library of Babel.